As a new season dawns, so does a fresh iteration of Expert Picks, bringing both betting and fantasy enthusiasts the latest insights. This year, fans can immerse themselves in an updated version of the PGA TOUR Fantasy Game, courtesy of the PGA TOUR Superstore. Each week, a panel of seasoned experts delivers recommendations and thoughtful analysis for the fantasy game, guiding users on who should lead their team to earn those coveted extra points. Players can set up their lineups on PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, with the current focus stretching through the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday.
Our Golfbet experts aren’t just about fantasy picks; they dive into betting tips too, offering insights on who might clinch the tournament and highlighting eye-catching prop markets.
Here’s how it works: Every week, our PGATOUR.COM experts curate their picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, presented by PGA TOUR Superstore. A lineup must include four main players, one being the captain, alongside two backup players who can be substituted in after each round. A twist? Each golfer can only feature three times across four segments, adding a strategic layer to the game.
If you’re looking for more expert advice, Golfbet’s Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton dissects the week’s competitors in his Power Rankings and provides specific fantasy guidance in his weekly Fantasy Insider.
Betting picks WILL GRAY (Lead, Fantasy & Betting) Winners * Collin Morikawa (+1400): Ready for another potential letdown, but Morikawa’s exceptional tee-to-green skills make him a promising pick, even after Sunday’s narrow miss at Bay Hill. * Aaron Rai (+7500): A popular choice this week, Rai’s precise ball-striking and recent strong performances, including a T4 and T11, make him noteworthy, along with a solid record in past PLAYERS events. Props * Balls in water on 17th hole, Over 52.5 (via ESPN BET): With blustery winds expected at Ponte Vedra Beach, it might be thrilling to cheer for a bit of pandemonium. * Sepp Straka Round 1, Under 70.5 (-110): Bolton ranks him ahead of Scottie Scheffler, compelling me to feature him in my strategy.
BEN EVERILL (Senior writer, Fantasy & Betting) Winners * Winner: Hideki Matsuyama (+3300): Consistently good at TPC Sawgrass, and already victorious this season. Recent winners of the PLAYERS share this connecting thread. * Winner: Justin Thomas (+2200): Predicted in the pre-season to win post-PLAYERS, this event is my last chance to validate this claim. A former champ, Thomas just needs to string together four good rounds. Props * Prop: Aaron Rai, Top 10 including ties (+450): Given historical links between Sedgefield CC and TPC Sawgrass, like Webb Simpson and Si Woo Kim, Rai could definitely contend. * Prop: Jason Day, Top 20 including ties (+190): After sparking during the Arnold Palmer Invitational, albeit with a few hiccups, Day is poised for a strong Augusta performance, suggesting a good week ahead.
CHRIS BREECE (Senior content manager, Golfbet) Winners * Hideki Matsuyama +3300: If there’s any venue for Matsuyama to triumph, it’s this. Known for his stunning 63 during COVID-19’s pause, he also boasts seven rounds of 67 or better at TPC Sawgrass, and victory seems imminent. * Daniel Berger +6000: Teasing glimpses of brilliance recently, it’s a toss-up whether he’ll keep delivering solid yet insufficient rounds or finally nail four outstanding rounds. With two top 10s and a T13 here, he’s tantalizing. Props * Top Past Champion: Justin Thomas (+600): In a field of eight, realistically only needing to surpass Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy sounds daunting, but with 6/1 odds, I’ll take it. Thomas is poised for success at Sawgrass. * Top 20: Shane Lowry (+180): Despite a rocky finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Lowry’s recent performance has been strong. His record includes second, T39, T11, and seventh placements, plus respectable finishes at this course.
CASEY JOHNSTON (Senior content manager, Golfbet) Winners * Ludvig Åberg (+1800): Just when I thought I was out, he reels me back. His 4-under Sunday recovery at Arnie’s convinces me of another potential victory in The Year of Åberg. * Justin Thomas (+2200): He’s triumphed here before, and he’ll do it again. In strong form and a previous PLAYERS champion, Thomas ranks seventh in SG: Total this season, hinting at his first win of the year. Props * Hole-in-One at the 17th Hole Yes (+145): There was one last year, three the prior year. Betting on another ace at 17 at plus money feels like a winner. * Scottie Scheffler Top 20 (-400): Sometimes, it’s just rewarding to witness success.