MLB Odds and Predictions: Angels vs. Yankees Showdown at Yankee Stadium

MLB Odds and Predictions: Angels vs. Yankees Showdown at Yankee Stadium
Grzegorz
Grzegorz1 day ago

The Los Angeles Angels, currently holding a 33-37 record, face off against the New York Yankees, who stand at 42-28, on Monday to kick off a riveting four-game series. The first pitch at Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET, and the matchup will be broadcast on MLB Network. Let’s delve into the BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds for this Angels vs. Yankees clash and present expert MLB picks and predictions for top betting opportunities.

Season Overview

So far, the Yankees have dominated the season series with a 3-0 lead. The Angels are coming off a streak of 7-5 over their last dozen games but have faced a rough patch, losing all three games on their current road trip after being swept by the Baltimore Orioles. Their offense faltered in Sunday’s 11-2 loss, with the only bright spot being first baseman Nolan Schanuel, who hit a home run and was responsible for two of the team’s five hits.

Returning to home turf, the Yankees completed a 3-3 road trip, culminating in a three-game sweep by the Boston Red Sox. In Sunday’s shutout 2-0 loss, starting pitcher Max Fried encountered only his second defeat of the season, giving up two earned runs on six hits with two walks over seven innings. Offensively, the Yankees mustered only five hits, with outfielder Trent Grisham contributing two and securing the team’s sole extra-base hit.

Projected Pitchers

The Angels will send right-hander Jose Soriano (4-5, 3.86 ERA) to the mound for his 15th start. Soriano boasts a 1.50 WHIP, 4.4 walks per nine innings, and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 79 1/3 frames. - Last outing: No-decision, 7 innings, 1 earned run, 2 hits, 2 walks, 12 strikeouts in a 2-1 home win over the Athletics on Tuesday. - 2025 road performance: 4-2, 3.19 ERA (48 innings, 17 earned runs), 1.38 WHIP, 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 8 starts. - Career vs. Yankees: 1 relief appearance on July 19, 2023, with 1/3 inning pitched, 1 earned run, 2 hits, 1 walk, 1 strikeout in a 7-3 home victory.

For the Yankees, right-hander Clarke Schmidt (3-3, 3.60 ERA) is set for his 11th start. Schmidt features a 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 walks per nine innings, and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings over 55 innings. - Last outing: Win, 6 innings, 0 earned runs, 3 hits, 3 walks, 7 strikeouts in a 6-3 road triumph against the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. - 2025 home performance: 0-1, 3.49 ERA (28 1/3 innings, 11 earned runs), 1.24 WHIP, 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 5 starts. - Previous match vs. Angels: Victory, 6 innings, 0 earned runs, 4 hits, 1 walk, 4 strikeouts in a 1-0 win in Anaheim on May 28. - Career vs. Angels: 1-1, 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 innings, 5 earned runs), 12 hits, 3 walks, 11 strikeouts in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Betting Odds

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a comprehensive list. Lines were last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +170 (wager $100 to win $170) | Yankees -210 (wager $210 to win $100)
  • Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 runs (Over: -102 | Under: -118)

Picks and Predictions

Game Prediction: Yankees 6, Angels 4

The Yankees have a solid home record of 21-12 this season, while the Angels are struggling on the road with an 18-19 record, losing four in a row and six of their last eight away games.

Both Soriano and Schmidt managed to allow one earned run or less in their most recent starts, but their season-long consistency has not been stable. Schmidt has only managed to hold opponents under three runs in consecutive appearances on one occasion this season. Soriano, meanwhile, has allowed two runs or less six times this year, usually faltering in the next start by allowing three or more runs following each of those outings.

Though quiet in Boston, scoring only four runs in their three-game set, the Yankees have previously exploded for seven or more runs in their last three games at Yankee Stadium. While New York is expected to clinch the series opener, the -210 odds aren’t attractive enough for a straight bet. The run line offers better value.

PASS:

At home, the Yankees are 16-17 against the spread for the season. Notably, four of their last nine victories have been narrowly decided by just one run, with two of their triumphs over the Angels by a single run.

Similarly, four of the Angels’ past nine losses have been by one run, boasting an 18-17 record ATS when designated as road underdogs. However, all nine of Soriano’s losses this season have been by more than one run. Meanwhile, four of the Yankees’ six victories with Schmidt pitching have been by two or more runs.

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+105):

None of their three meetings this season surpassed six total runs, yet six of Soriano’s nine-given losses featured games with nine or more total runs.

Given both starters’ records this year, each is likely to concede at least three runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-102):

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