Recent studies conducted by Toho University in Japan, alongside NASA’s analyses, suggest a gradual decline in life on Earth won’t result from a catastrophic event. Instead, it will slowly diminish due to oxygen depletion. Forget the fiery apocalyptic visions; Earth’s distant destiny will unfold quietly as breathable air vanishes. It’s not imminent, though — we’re talking about a billion years from now, give or take a few hundred million years.
Researchers at Toho University employed advanced planetary and atmospheric models to predict the future trajectory of Earth’s climate and atmospheric composition over geological timescales. What did they discover? Approximately one billion years in the future, the Sun will intensify in heat and brightness, disrupting the Earth’s intricate balance of gases. Rising temperatures will compromise the carbon cycle, essential for plant photosynthesis, ultimately leading to decreased oxygen generation. Gradually, Earth’s atmosphere will mirror its ancient version: low in oxygen, abundant in methane, and other greenhouse gases.
As Earth breathes out its final gust of oxygen, it won’t be an instantaneous downfall. The planet will likely endure a prolonged, life-drained phase that remains geologically active but devoid of biological vibrancy. No more forests, no chirping birds, nor buzzing insects. Yet, in secluded underground areas or thermal springs, bacteria and microbial life might persist as they did billions of years ago. Earth as a planet will continue its existence—it’s just the hostfulness for complex life that will cease.