Tennis Best Bets for Tuesday, June 17th – Action in Queen’s Club, Halle, and Berlin

We find ourselves in a brief yet thrilling part of the 2025 tennis season: the grass-court stretch, leading up to the legendary Wimbledon. This week, three major 500-level tournaments are in full swing, demanding our attention. Top-tier ATP players are battling it out at Queen’s Club for the HSBC Championships, while others are competing in Halle at the Terra Wortmann Open. Simultaneously, most of the WTA stars are showcasing their skills at the Berlin Tennis Open. Let’s dive into some top-notch tennis picks for Tuesday, June 17th.

Don’t miss out on the Pro Picks page throughout the day for the latest recommendations. Renowned analyst Gill Alexander is known for his sharp tennis insights on A Numbers Game, a cornerstone of our live VSiN broadcasts. While I make it a point to elaborate on many of my betting choices, you’ll occasionally find additional selections on the Pro Picks page, including those for smaller ATP/WTA events and my exclusive Challenger-level picks.

Jiri Lehecka vs. Alex de Minaur – Queen’s Club
While de Minaur’s moneyline odds are steep, I’m backing him to overcome Lehecka in London. De Minaur is formidable on grass, using the conditions to enhance his serve and ball striking while maintaining strong defense. This sets him up well against Lehecka, whose recent serve performance has been shaky. If Lehecka doesn’t bring his A-game, de Minaur will exploit this as an aggressive returner, likely causing Lehecka to falter—he hit six double faults in his last match against Ben Shelton. Beating de Minaur requires more than just power; you need tactical variety unless you’re someone like Jannik Sinner.

To reduce de Minaur’s -200 odds to a more enticing -111, I’m pairing his moneyline with a bet on Struff to take at least one set. Though I’m inclined to think Struff will topple Sonego, my confidence isn’t strong enough for a straight bet. Struff is well-suited to Halle’s fast courts, with his booming serve granting easy holds against a weak returner like Sonego. As the match progresses, I expect Struff to seize break opportunities due to Sonego’s inconsistent play. Even without a break, Struff can edge out a tiebreaker. As a reliable player on grass, Struff thrives at home.

PARLAY: de Minaur ML & Struff +1.5 Sets (-111 – 1.5 units)

Alex Michelsen vs. Francisco Cerundolo – Halle
Our VSiN betting data reveals sharp interest in Michelsen, evidenced by his price movement from -120 to -130 at DraftKings, despite a popular backing of Cerundolo. Michelsen’s aptitude for fast grass courts enhances his appeal. Having reached his first ATP final in Newport, Michelsen’s strengths—a powerful serve and forward play—are rewarded on grass. I anticipate Michelsen will enjoy easier service games than Cerundolo, and I favor the baseline matchup for the young American. Cerundolo’s mighty forehand struggles with grass’s tricky bounces, affecting his consistency.

I wouldn’t claim Michelsen surpasses Cerundolo in overall skill, but the grass courts tilt the balance. Cerundolo, standing 7-9 on grass, has lost his last four matches on the surface over the past year, reflecting his unsuitability to these conditions.

Bet: Michelsen ML (-123 – 1.5 units)

Elena Rybakina vs. Qinwen Zheng – Berlin
I’m not betting on Zheng to win a set due to unfounded faith in her grass performance, but her recent Queen’s Club run, including a notable win over Emma Raducanu, suggests growing confidence. Zheng, still just 22, possesses the tools for grass success—a potent serve, strong baseline hits, and nimble movement.

If Zheng is indeed finding her form, her -147 odds to claim a set against Rybakina seem undervalued. While Rybakina boasts a Wimbledon title, the tight nature of their past clashes indicates not much divides them now. Zheng has outpaced Rybakina in 2025 grass victories and narrowly lost their encounter at Wimbledon in 2022, later defeating her at the WTA Finals.

The probability of Zheng securing a set exceeds 60%, making these odds too tempting to pass up. Her moneyline odds are attractive for a cautious bet as well. The odds simply don’t align with reality.

Bet: Zheng +1.5 Sets (-147 – 1.5 units) & Zheng ML (+175 – 0.5 units)

2025 Record: 762-743-1 (+26.02 units)